Investment · projection

Compare shares

Why this matters. A mix of share indexes grows by the return you type, minus the fees you type. The boxes are assumptions. The past-performance lines are labelled as past, and they are not copied into those boxes. A fall you switch on is an illustration, not a forecast.

Put 100% of starting capital and monthly additions across the three. Drag the mix — it always adds to 100%. The thick line is your blend. The thin lines are 100% in one index, for comparison.

Assumptions

$0 to $15,000
1 years to 40 years

Your mix · 100%

Whole portfolio sits in these three. Changing one rescales the others.

50% ASX · 30% S&P · 20% Nasdaq

0 % to 100 %
0 % to 100 %
0 % to 100 %
Rebalance back to this mix once a year
Show 100% comparison lines
0 % to 6 % · Used only when “real dollars” is on.
Show real (today’s) dollars

Fee and tax drag

Both start at 0%, so the chart matches the per-index fee already set below until you move them.

0 % to 2 % · On top of the fee already set on each index.
0 % to 3 % · A percentage taken off the return each year. Not a tax assessment.
Assumed returns and fees

Defaults you can override. Not a forecast, and not the past-performance figures beside the chart.

ASX 200

VAS / IOZ · S&P/ASX 200–300 Australian shares

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

S&P 500

IVV · US large-cap, unhedged AUD

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

Nasdaq-100

NDQ · US tech-heavy 100, unhedged AUD

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

Projection

Your mix

$1,759,022Assumption you typed

Contributions in

$530,000

Mix net return

9.51%

Vs 100% ASX

$247,692

100% ASX 200

$1,511,330

100% S&P 500

$1,874,391

100% Nasdaq-100

$2,350,385

Mix 50/30/20. Sleeves reset to those weights each year. Starting capital and every monthly addition are split on day one of each month. Unhedged AUD. No franking, no CGT. Portfolio MER 0.00% and tax drag 0.00% come off every sleeve. Chart is nominal. Not a forecast.

Falls

S&P Dow Jones Indices, education paper on the S&P 500 Managed Risk 2.0 indices. Data from 28 March 1990 to 31 March 2020. The paper does not call these the all-time worst falls, and it is not a 2026 factsheet. The S&P/ASX 200 price-return factsheet as of 30 September 2026 publishes risk as annualised standard deviation. It does not publish a peak-to-trough worst fall, so this page does not print one for the ASX 200.

  • S&P 500, Global financial crisis. -55.3% Peak 5 October 2007, trough 9 March 2009. S&P 500 column of that table.
  • S&P 500, Dot-com. -47.4% Peak 1 September 2000, trough 9 October 2002.
  • S&P 500, COVID-19 sell-off. -33.8% Peak 19 February 2020, trough 23 March 2020. The paper’s figures stop at 31 March 2020.

S&P Dow Jones education paper, data to 31 March 2020 ↗

S&P/ASX 200 factsheet, price return, as of 30 September 2026 ↗

What a 30% fall does to this projection

Off. The projection above is unchanged.

Past performance, not a forecast

The 8.5%, 10% and 12% boxes are assumptions you can edit. They are not these published returns.

  • S&P/ASX 200 (TR) ↗ 9.04% a year13 October 2026

    10-year annualised. Total return. Not the 8.5% box. S&P Dow Jones Indices, featured total-return table.

  • S&P 500 (TR) ↗ 15.72% a year13 October 2026

    10-year annualised. The index provider’s total return. Not an unhedged Australian-dollar return, and not the 10% box. S&P Dow Jones Indices, featured total-return table.

Nasdaq-100 past performance is published by Nasdaq. This page does not copy a figure from that page into the 12% box. Nasdaq-100 ↗

Next: If you'd invested — What those markets actually did, not the assumption.

What doctors often miss

The chart uses the returns and fees you type. The extra MER and tax-drag boxes start at 0%. A typed return is not a forecast.

Included / Not included

Included

  • The starting amount, monthly addition, mix, and return you type · Example assumption, editable

Not included

  • Tax on distributions, franking credits, and the CGT discount
  • Investment returns that change from year to year
  • Inflation and currency movement
  • Super caps, contributions tax, and fund fees beyond the fee you type
  • Dividends as cash you can spend. They are inside the return if you put them there
  • Brokerage, unless it is inside a fee you type

Assumptions you can edit are the inputs on this page. This is a model, not a prediction, a tax assessment, or a recommendation.

A rough figure — not advice. Terms

Also

Advertisement — labelled, never inside the number.

Sources used

Direct document for each published figure on this page. A number you type, with no row here, is an example assumption, editable. It is not a published rate.

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